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SOFI

SoFi Technologies, Inc.ACCUMULATE
Fintech - Neobank / Digital Banking · framework=rule-of-40 · peers=AFRM, UPST, MQ, LC, HOOD
Du siehst eine historische Snapshot-Version vom 02.06.2026. These und Narrativ-Shift zeigen den aktuellen Stand.← Zurück zu aktuell
Preis
$18.68
Upside
-18.4%
Confidence 0.60
Snapshot
02.06.2026
30d

Chart & Einstieg

Lade Chart …
Einstiegs-Signal
Confidence 0.56
AufwärtstrendAbwarten
Ziel-Einstieg
$15.00

SOFI has recovered sharply from its $14.92 60-day low to $18.14 — exactly at the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level, a classical stall/resistance zone. RSI at 69.2 is approaching overbought territory. Price is now above BB Upper ($17.28), indicating an extended move that often precedes consolidation. MACD histogram is positive (0.546) and rising, suggesting momentum, but the MACD line itself (-0.05) has barely turned positive — not a strong trend signal. Support at $15.90 (prior resistance cluster and Bollinger Middle $16.05 zone). TRIM verdict means no target_entry is set. Stop for existing short-term longs ≈ $18.14 − 2×ATR = $18.14 − $1.70 = $16.44.

MA 50
$16.71
MA 200
$20.77
RSI(14)
69.2
Support / Resistance
$15.90 / $19.50
Williams %R
-12.0overbought
MACD
-0.05/ sig -0.60
Hist +0.55
Stochastic
%K 88.0/ %D 81.5
Bollinger
Mitte
$14.81$17.28
ATR(14)
$0.85
Stop ≈ $14.35
Fibonacci
38.2% $16.91
50% $17.52
61.8% $18.14

Forward Fair Value · Calculator

%
Claude: 30.00 %
bps/Jahr
Claude: 400 bps/Jahr
x
Claude: 4.0 x
%
Claude: 0.00 %
JahrClaude FVDeine FVΔ FVRevenue (Deine)Margin (Deine)Upside ClaudeUpside Deine
Ende 2026$14.75$14.750.0%$4.2B+10.0%-21.0%-21.0%
Ende 2027$19.00$19.000.0%$5.5B+14.0%+1.7%+1.7%
Ende 2028$25.00$25.000.0%$7.1B+18.0%+33.8%+33.8%
Claudes Notiz:EV/Revenue 4.0x for R40-72 Fintech (bank discount vs pure tech). Forward P/E 24x on FY2026E $0.65. Blended 50/50. BFV $15.25 unchanged.

Historie (5 Jahre)

Lade Historie …

Begründung(vom 02.06.2026)

SOFI steigt auf $18.68 (+10.5%) durch SoFiUSD-Stablecoin-Launch (erste US-National-Bank-Ausgabe) und CEO-Insider-Kauf Mai 2026. BFV $15.25 unveraendert: Rule-of-40 Score 72, Peer-Multiple 4.0x NTM $4.65B = $18.6B EV — Discount fuer Block/Levitin-Rechtsrisiko ergibt ~$15.25/Aktie. Verdict wechselt HOLD -> TRIM: Upside -18.4% liegt unter -10%-Schwelle. Block & Levitin SEC-Klassenklage und Muddy Waters Credit-Vorwuerfe ungeloest belasten fundamentale Bewertungsgrundlage.

These · aktualisiert 25.06.2026

Bull Case

SoFi Technologies: Eigene Banklizenz senkt Funding-Kosten strukturell (~1.8% vs. 5% Wholesale). Mitglieder-CAGR +34%. Neo-Bank-Modell skaliert profitabel mit Zinsmarge. Kurs $18.36 in attraktiver Kaufzone.

Bear Case

Student-Loan-Refinanzierung-Volumen sinkt. Kreditausfälle steigen in Rezession. Wachstumsfinanzierung erfordert weitere Kapitalerhöhungen. Wettbewerb durch Established Banks mit Neobank-Features.

Catalysts

Einlagen-Wachstum CAGR +40%; Break-even bei Galileo-Technologieplattform; SoFi Stadium Marketing-Effekt; Zinssenkungen verbessern Loan-Refinanzierungs-Nachfrage.

Risks

Student-Loan-Nachfrage sinkt bei staatlicher Konkurrenz; Zinssenkungen komprimieren Einlagen-Marge; Kreditausfälle in Rezession; CFPB-Regulierung.

Snapshot-History· Klick auf Datum lädt diese Version

DatumPreisMarket CapP/ERev TTMRev GrowthEBITDA-Marge
02.07.2026$18.67$23.9K40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
01.07.2026$18.16$19.6K40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
30.06.2026$18.16$19.6K40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
29.06.2026$17.75$19.2K40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
28.06.2026$17.48$18.9K40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
27.06.2026$17.22$22.1K40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
26.06.2026$17.53$22.5K40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
25.06.2026$18.36$23.6B40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
23.06.2026$17.08$21.9B40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
22.06.2026$17.88$23B40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
21.06.2026$17.88$17B40.6$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
20.06.2026$16.03$15.2B36.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
19.06.2026$16.03$16B36.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
18.06.2026$17.50$17.5B39.8$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
17.06.2026$17.13$17.1B37.3$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
16.06.2026$17.14$17.1B37.3$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
15.06.2026$16.43$16.4B37.3$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
14.06.2026$16.68$16.7B37.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
13.06.2026$16.58$16.6B37.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
12.06.2026$16.58$21.2B37.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
11.06.2026$16.47$21.1B37.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
10.06.2026$16.47$21.1B37.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
09.06.2026$16.50$21.1B36.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
08.06.2026$16.03$20.5B36.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
07.06.2026$16.03$20.5B36.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
06.06.2026$16.03$20.5B36.4$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
05.06.2026$17.00$21.8B41.2$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
04.06.2026$16.68$21.3B41.2$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
03.06.2026$18.22$23.3B41.2$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%
02.06.2026$18.68$23.9B41.2$3.9B+41.0%+6.3%

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